How the Teal Probability Football Model Sharpens Match Predictions
When I first started following football prediction tools, most of them gave you a single number: Team A has a 65 percent chance to win. That was it. You never knew how the model got there, what assumptions it made, or whether the number was reliable for anything beyond bragging rights. Over the past few seasons, a different approach has started to gain traction among analysts and serious bettors. It is built around a framework that treats every match outcome as a distributio